Szkoła Kursów

Stan Wawrinka v Arthur Fils

Początek: 2026-05-25 09:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

59 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Stan Wawrinka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 15.23%6.57kurs godziwy
EV +9.05%
Przewaga +1.26%
Kelly +1.47%
Wzrost +0.133%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.16

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.63%15.46%15.19%18.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.006.196.257.1620.00%16.15%16.00%13.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Arthur Fils (Goście)

Prognoza 84.77%1.18kurs godziwy
EV -2.51%
Przewaga -2.19%
Kelly -16.76%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.15

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
81.57%84.54%84.81%86.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.081.121.121.1592.59%89.26%89.29%86.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet7.16I 13.97%NM 13.63%EV +9.05%E +1.26%K +1.47%G +0.133%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.37%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 14:40
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +6.61%E +0.944%K +1.10%G +0.073%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-23 15:29
NordicBet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 13:20
Betsson6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.519%E +0.079%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 17:50
BetOnline.ag6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 14:20
LowVig.ag6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +0.367%E +0.056%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 14:19
Pinnacle6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +0.215%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 15:09
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 14:18
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 18:50
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 15:32
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 08:30
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 08:30
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 08:30
NetBet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.00%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.45%E -7.82%K -105.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 16:50
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:51
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:51
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:51
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Bally Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Betclic (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -2.53%E -0.395%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 13:29
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 14:29
Bet Right6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 14:19
BetAnything6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 14:29
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 15:39
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.81%E -0.770%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 15:39
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.57%E -0.899%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 22:40
DraftKings6.12I 16.34%NM 15.47%EV -6.79%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.53%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 14:39
GTbets6.08I 16.45%NM 15.56%EV -7.40%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.44%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 06:30
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 06:30
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 06:30
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 22:39
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:39
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 22:40
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 06:09
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 14:29
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 14:29
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 14:29
Caesars6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.62%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.91%E -5.32%K -53.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 10:46
Unibet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -10.14%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 18:50
MyBookie.ag5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:59
theScore Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -13.19%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.06%E -4.52%K -42.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 14:18
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:19
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.71%E -2.63%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 15:50
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.36%E -2.95%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 14:18
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 15:48
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.23%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 15:48
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.04%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.51%E -2.19%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:49
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -23.85%E -4.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.21%E -3.73%K -32.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 16:58
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-05-23 14:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%5.1%2026-05-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%5.1%2026-05-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 27.73%1.17I 85.47%NM 72.27%18.3%2026-05-23 15:59
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 54.13%1.18I 84.75%NM 45.87%84.7%2026-05-23 16:59