语言:简体中文
Rafael Jodar v Pablo Carreno Busta
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Rafael Jodar (主队)
预测 76.13%1.31公平赔率
EV -1.79%
优势 -1.39%
Kelly -6.17%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.29
博彩公司预测分布
73.77%76.09%76.19%77.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.26%80.00%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)
预测 23.87%4.19公平赔率
EV +1.43%
优势 +0.337%
Kelly +0.441%
增长率 +0.006%
假设最高赔率为 4.25
博彩公司预测分布
22.16%23.91%23.81%26.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.014.004.2527.78%24.93%25.00%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Rafael Jodar (主队)：76.13%；Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)：23.87%。 对于“Pablo Carreno Busta (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.19。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.25，对应+1.43%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 11:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.13%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.87%EV -2.62%E -0.643%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.34%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -1.79%E -1.39%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.36%E -5.17%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.44%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -7.40%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.31%E -2.61%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.83%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |