Szkoła Kursów

Rafael Jodar v Pablo Carreno Busta

Początek: 2026-05-31 11:25 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 76.13%1.31kurs godziwy
EV -1.79%
Przewaga -1.39%
Kelly -6.17%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.29

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
73.77%76.09%76.19%77.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.26%80.00%77.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Pablo Carreno Busta (Goście)

Prognoza 23.87%4.19kurs godziwy
EV +1.43%
Przewaga +0.337%
Kelly +0.441%
Wzrost +0.006%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.16%23.91%23.81%26.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.014.004.2527.78%24.93%25.00%23.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006%4.2%2026-05-31 11:16
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006%6.2%2026-05-31 11:10
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 11:20
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 11:00
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 11:00
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 11:10
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 11:10
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:50
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:20
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 77.13%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.87%EV -2.62%E -0.643%K -0.852%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.34%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 11:10
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 11:20
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -1.79%E -1.39%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 11:20
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:10
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:10
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:10
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:10
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:40
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:20
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:20
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:20
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 11:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 11:10
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 10:20
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 10:20
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 10:20
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.36%E -5.17%K -27.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 11:20
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.44%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -7.40%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 11:08
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 11:10
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.31%E -2.61%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.83%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 11:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 11:10
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 10:20
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:20
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 11:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-05-31 11:10
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-05-31 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-31 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-31 11:20
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-05-31 11:20
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%2.6%2026-05-31 11:20