La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Rafael Jodar v Pablo Carreno Busta
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Rafael Jodar (Casa)
Previsione 76.13%1.31quota equa
EV -1.79%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -6.17%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.77%76.09%76.19%77.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.26%80.00%77.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.87%4.19quota equa
EV +1.43%
Vantaggio +0.337%
Kelly +0.441%
Crescita +0.006%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.16%23.91%23.81%26.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.014.004.2527.78%24.93%25.00%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 11:16 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| GTbets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.13%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.87%EV -2.62%E -0.643%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.34%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -1.79%E -1.39%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.36%E -5.17%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.44%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -7.40%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.31%E -2.61%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.83%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |