مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rafael Jodar v Pablo Carreno Busta

البداية: 2026-05-31 11:25 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rafael Jodar (المضيف)

التنبؤ 76.13%1.31السعر العادل
EV -1.79%
الأفضلية -1.39%
Kelly -6.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.77%76.09%76.19%77.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.26%80.00%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pablo Carreno Busta (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.87%4.19السعر العادل
EV +1.43%
الأفضلية +0.337%
Kelly +0.441%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.16%23.91%23.81%26.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.014.004.2527.78%24.93%25.00%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006%4.2%2026-05-31 11:16
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006%6.2%2026-05-31 11:10
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 11:20
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 11:00
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 11:00
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 11:10
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 11:10
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:50
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 10:20
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:20
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 77.13%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.87%EV -2.62%E -0.643%K -0.852%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.34%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 11:10
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 11:20
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -1.79%E -1.39%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 11:20
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:10
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:10
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:10
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 11:10
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:40
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:20
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:20
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 10:20
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 11:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 11:10
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 10:20
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 10:20
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 10:20
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.36%E -5.17%K -27.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 11:20
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.44%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -7.40%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 11:08
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 11:10
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.31%E -2.61%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.83%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 11:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 11:10
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 10:20
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:20
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 11:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-05-31 11:10
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-05-31 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-31 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-05-31 11:20
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-05-31 11:20
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%2.6%2026-05-31 11:20