Sprache:Deutsch
Rafael Jodar v Pablo Carreno Busta
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Rafael Jodar (Heim)
Prognose 76.13%1.31faire Quote
EV -1.79%
Vorteil -1.39%
Kelly -6.17%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.77%76.09%76.19%77.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.26%80.00%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Pablo Carreno Busta (Auswärts)
Prognose 23.87%4.19faire Quote
EV +1.43%
Vorteil +0.337%
Kelly +0.441%
Wachstum +0.006%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.16%23.91%23.81%26.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.604.014.004.2527.78%24.93%25.00%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rafael Jodar (Heim): 76.13%; Pablo Carreno Busta (Auswärts): 23.87%. Für Pablo Carreno Busta (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.19. 8 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.43%.
Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 11:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.13%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.87%EV -2.62%E -0.643%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.34%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -1.79%E -1.39%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.36%E -5.17%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.44%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -7.40%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.31%E -2.61%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.83%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |