Språk:Svenska
Rafael Jodar v Pablo Carreno Busta
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Rafael Jodar (Hemma)
Prognos 76.13%1.31rättvist odds
EV -1.79%
Fördel -1.39%
Kelly -6.17%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.29
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
73.77%76.09%76.19%77.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.26%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Pablo Carreno Busta (Borta)
Prognos 23.87%4.19rättvist odds
EV +1.43%
Fördel +0.337%
Kelly +0.441%
Tillväxt +0.006%
med antagandet om högsta odds 4.25
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.16%23.91%23.81%26.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.604.014.004.2527.78%24.93%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 76.13%; Pablo Carreno Busta (Borta): 23.87%. För Pablo Carreno Busta (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.19. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.43%.
Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta ▼ | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 11:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.13%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.87%EV -2.62%E -0.643%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.34%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -1.79%E -1.39%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.36%E -5.17%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.44%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -7.40%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.31%E -2.61%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.83%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (6)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |