L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Pablo Carreno Busta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 76.13%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -6.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.77%76.09%76.19%77.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.26%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pablo Carreno Busta (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.87%4.19cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.337%
Kelly +0.441%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.16%23.91%23.81%26.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.014.004.2527.78%24.93%25.00%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 11:16 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV +1.43%E +0.337%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.240%E +0.057%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.15%E -0.524%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| GTbets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.13%EV -7.88%E -6.51%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.87%EV -2.62%E -0.643%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.34%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -1.79%E -1.39%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.12%E -5.83%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.36%E -5.17%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.44%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -7.40%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 11:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.31%E -2.61%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.83%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 10:20 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.55%E -1.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.83%E -3.87%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.08%E -3.91%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-31 11:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 11:20 |