Language:English
Joao Fonseca v Novak Djokovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prediction 34.68%2.88fair odd
EV -0.136%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.072%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.78%34.73%36.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.592.722.752.8838.61%36.74%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Novak Djokovic (Visit)
Prediction 65.32%1.53fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.900%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.17%65.22%65.27%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.23%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Joao Fonseca (Local): 34.68%; Novak Djokovic (Visit): 65.32%. For Joao Fonseca (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.884. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.880, with an expected value of -0.136%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.136%E -0.047%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.482%E -0.168%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 13:47 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.55%E -6.10%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.60%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.99%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 13:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -9.50%E -3.64%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 13:47 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.19%E -3.93%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -1.36%E -0.900%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |