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Joao Fonseca v Novak Djokovic
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Joao Fonseca (Хозяева)
Прогноз 34.68%2.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.136%
Преимущество -0.047%
Kelly -0.072%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.88
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.18%34.78%34.73%36.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.592.722.752.8838.61%36.74%36.36%34.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Novak Djokovic (Гости)
Прогноз 65.32%1.53справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.36%
Преимущество -0.900%
Kelly -2.67%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.51
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
63.17%65.22%65.27%66.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.23%68.03%66.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Joao Fonseca (Хозяева): 34.68%; Novak Djokovic (Гости): 65.32%. Для исхода «Joao Fonseca (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.884. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.880, математическое ожидание — -0.136%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.136%E -0.047%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.482%E -0.168%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 13:47 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.55%E -6.10%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.60%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.99%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 13:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -9.50%E -3.64%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 13:47 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.19%E -3.93%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -1.36%E -0.900%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |