Język:Polski
Joao Fonseca v Novak Djokovic
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 34.68%2.88kurs godziwy
EV -0.136%
Przewaga -0.047%
Kelly -0.072%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.88
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.18%34.78%34.73%36.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.592.722.752.8838.61%36.74%36.36%34.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Novak Djokovic (Goście)
Prognoza 65.32%1.53kurs godziwy
EV -1.36%
Przewaga -0.900%
Kelly -2.67%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.51
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.17%65.22%65.27%66.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.23%68.03%66.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze): 34.68%; Novak Djokovic (Goście): 65.32%. Dla wyniku Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.884. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.880, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.136%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.136%E -0.047%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.482%E -0.168%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 13:47 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.55%E -6.10%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.60%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.99%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 13:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -9.50%E -3.64%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 13:47 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.19%E -3.93%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -1.36%E -0.900%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |