مدرسة الاحتمالات

Joao Fonseca v Novak Djokovic

البداية: 2026-05-29 13:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Joao Fonseca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.68%2.88السعر العادل
EV -0.136%
الأفضلية -0.047%
Kelly -0.072%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.18%34.78%34.73%36.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.592.722.752.8838.61%36.74%36.36%34.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Novak Djokovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 65.32%1.53السعر العادل
EV -1.36%
الأفضلية -0.900%
Kelly -2.67%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.17%65.22%65.27%66.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.23%68.03%66.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.136%E -0.047%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 13:49
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.482%E -0.168%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-29 13:50
LowVig.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 13:49
BetOnline.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 13:49
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-29 13:47
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-29 13:50
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 13:50
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 13:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.55%E -6.10%K -21.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 13:49
DraftKings2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 13:50
MyBookie.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.60%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 13:50
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:50
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 13:49
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 13:49
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 13:49
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 13:50
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 13:49
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 13:49
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 13:49
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 13:45
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 13:49
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.99%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 13:49
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 13:48
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 13:49
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 13:50
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 13:48
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 13:49
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 13:49
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 13:49
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 13:45
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 13:50
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 13:49
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 13:49
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 13:49
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 13:49
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 13:49
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 13:49
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -9.50%E -3.64%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 13:49
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 13:49
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 13:49
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 13:49
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 13:49
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 13:47
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.19%E -3.93%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -1.36%E -0.900%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 13:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-29 13:50
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-05-29 13:50
Novig2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%1.4%2026-05-29 13:50
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-05-29 13:50