Langue:Français
Joao Fonseca v Novak Djokovic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prévision 34.68%2.88cote équitable
EV -0.136%
Avantage -0.047%
Kelly -0.072%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.18%34.78%34.73%36.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.592.722.752.8838.61%36.74%36.36%34.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Novak Djokovic (Visiteur)
Prévision 65.32%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.900%
Kelly -2.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.17%65.22%65.27%66.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.23%68.03%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Joao Fonseca (Local) : 34.68% ; Novak Djokovic (Visiteur) : 65.32%. Pour Joao Fonseca (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.884. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.880, pour une espérance de -0.136% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.136%E -0.047%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.482%E -0.168%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 13:47 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.55%E -6.10%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.60%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.99%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 13:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -9.50%E -3.64%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 13:47 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.19%E -3.93%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -1.36%E -0.900%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |