La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Joao Fonseca v Novak Djokovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Predicción 34.68%2.88momio equitativo
EV -0.136%
Ventaja -0.047%
Kelly -0.072%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.18%34.78%34.73%36.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.592.722.752.8838.61%36.74%36.36%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Novak Djokovic (Visitante)
Predicción 65.32%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.900%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.17%65.22%65.27%66.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.23%68.03%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.136%E -0.047%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.482%E -0.168%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.87%E -0.661%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 13:47 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.55%E -6.10%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.60%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betsson | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| GTbets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.99%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bovada | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 13:48 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:48 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| TAB | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -9.50%E -3.64%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -2.67%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.01%E -1.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.84%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 13:47 |
| 1xBet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.19%E -3.93%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -1.36%E -0.900%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 13:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Novig | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-05-29 13:50 |