Language:English
Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Casper Ruud (Local)
Prediction 62.08%1.61fair odd
EV +3.06%
Edge +1.84%
Kelly +4.63%
Growth +0.141%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.44%61.90%62.50%63.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.6667.11%65.38%65.36%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Joao Fonseca (Visit)
Prediction 37.92%2.64fair odd
EV -0.654%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.404%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.74%38.10%37.50%42.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.512.522.6244.64%39.90%39.68%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Casper Ruud (Local): 62.08%; Joao Fonseca (Visit): 37.92%. For Casper Ruud (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV +3.06%E +1.84%K +4.63%G +0.141% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -15.06%E -6.72%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.654%E -0.250%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:27 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-31 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:18 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |