La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Casper Ruud (Local)
Predicción 62.08%1.61momio equitativo
EV +3.06%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +4.63%
Crecimiento +0.141%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.44%61.90%62.50%63.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.531.531.6667.11%65.38%65.36%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Joao Fonseca (Visitante)
Predicción 37.92%2.64momio equitativo
EV -0.654%
Ventaja -0.250%
Kelly -0.404%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.74%38.10%37.50%42.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.242.512.522.6244.64%39.90%39.68%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV +3.06%E +1.84%K +4.63%G +0.141% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -15.06%E -6.72%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.654%E -0.250%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:27 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-31 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:26 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Unibet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:18 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |