L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Casper Ruud (Local)
Prévision 62.08%1.61cote équitable
EV +3.06%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +4.63%
Croissance +0.141%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.44%61.90%62.50%63.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.531.531.6667.11%65.38%65.36%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Joao Fonseca (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.92%2.64cote équitable
EV -0.654%
Avantage -0.250%
Kelly -0.404%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.74%38.10%37.50%42.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.242.512.522.6244.64%39.90%39.68%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV +3.06%E +1.84%K +4.63%G +0.141% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -15.06%E -6.72%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.654%E -0.250%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:27 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-31 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:26 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Unibet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:18 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |