La scuola delle quote

Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca

Inizio: 2026-05-31 19:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Casper Ruud (Casa)

Previsione 62.08%1.61quota equa
EV +3.06%
Vantaggio +1.84%
Kelly +4.63%
Crescita +0.141%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.44%61.90%62.50%63.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.531.531.6667.11%65.38%65.36%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Joao Fonseca (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.92%2.64quota equa
EV -0.654%
Vantaggio -0.250%
Kelly -0.404%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.74%38.10%37.50%42.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.242.512.522.6244.64%39.90%39.68%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV +3.06%E +1.84%K +4.63%G +0.141%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -15.06%E -6.72%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 18:14
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 18:30
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.654%E -0.250%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 18:30
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 18:20
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:30
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 18:20
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 18:20
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 18:27
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 18:15
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 18:19
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 18:15
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 18:20
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 18:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 18:19
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 18:19
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 18:30
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 18:20
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:26
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:20
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 18:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 18:20
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 18:29
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 18:20
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 18:19
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 18:20
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 18:30
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:20
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:20
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:18
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:20
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:20
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:19
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:14
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 18:20
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 18:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 18:14
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:29
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-31 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-31 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-05-31 18:30
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-05-31 18:30