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Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Casper Ruud (Хозяева)
Прогноз 62.08%1.61справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.06%
Преимущество +1.84%
Kelly +4.63%
Рост +0.141%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.66
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.44%61.90%62.50%63.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.491.531.531.6667.11%65.38%65.36%60.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Joao Fonseca (Гости)
Прогноз 37.92%2.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.654%
Преимущество -0.250%
Kelly -0.404%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.62
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.74%38.10%37.50%42.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.242.512.522.6244.64%39.90%39.68%38.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Casper Ruud (Хозяева): 62.08%; Joao Fonseca (Гости): 37.92%. Для исхода «Casper Ruud (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.61. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 1.66, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.06%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV +3.06%E +1.84%K +4.63%G +0.141% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -15.06%E -6.72%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.654%E -0.250%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:27 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-31 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:18 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |