مدرسة الاحتمالات

Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca

البداية: 2026-05-31 19:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Casper Ruud (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.08%1.61السعر العادل
EV +3.06%
الأفضلية +1.84%
Kelly +4.63%
النمو +0.141%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.44%61.90%62.50%63.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.491.531.531.6667.11%65.38%65.36%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Joao Fonseca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.92%2.64السعر العادل
EV -0.654%
الأفضلية -0.250%
Kelly -0.404%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.74%38.10%37.50%42.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.242.512.522.6244.64%39.90%39.68%38.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV +3.06%E +1.84%K +4.63%G +0.141%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -15.06%E -6.72%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 18:14
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.811%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -6.34%E -2.57%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 18:30
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.654%E -0.250%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 18:30
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.79%E -0.692%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 18:20
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:30
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 18:20
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 18:20
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 18:27
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 18:15
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 18:19
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 18:15
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 18:20
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 18:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 18:19
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 18:19
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 18:30
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 18:20
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:26
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:20
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 18:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 18:20
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.01%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 18:29
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 18:20
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 18:19
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 18:20
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 18:30
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:20
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:20
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:18
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:20
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:20
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:19
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:14
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.45%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 18:20
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 18:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 18:14
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:29
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 18:20
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 18:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-05-31 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-31 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-05-31 18:30
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-05-31 18:30