The School of Odds

Alex Michelsen v Rafael Jodar

Matchstart: 2026-05-29 11:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Hemma)

Prognos 18.10%5.53rättvist odds
EV +9.48%
Fördel +1.57%
Kelly +1.88%
Tillväxt +0.178%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.74%18.13%18.17%20.69%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.605.105.006.0521.74%19.61%20.00%16.53%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Rafael Jodar (Borta)

Prognos 81.90%1.22rättvist odds
EV -1.71%
Fördel -1.43%
Kelly -8.57%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
79.31%81.87%81.83%84.26%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.59%85.47%83.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +9.48%E +1.57%K +1.88%G +0.178%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.45%E -6.59%K -57.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 10:48
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.76%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.093%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
Coolbet5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +3.15%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Pinnacle5.64I 17.73%NM 17.30%EV +2.06%E +0.365%K +0.444%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.70%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 10:58
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +0.431%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 11:00
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 10:59
NetBet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 11:00
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.27%E -7.38%K -68.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 10:59
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:59
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 10:59
MyBookie.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.09%E -0.772%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 11:00
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.00%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
NordicBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
DraftKings5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
GTbets5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%EV -7.17%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-29 10:59
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.71%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:00
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:57
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 11:00
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:58
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 11:00
Fliff5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.14%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 10:55
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Bally Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 10:54
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.95%E -3.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:47
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:58
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 10:59
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 11:00
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 11:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-05-29 11:00
Novig5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%3.1%2026-05-29 11:00