Lingua:Italiano
Alex Michelsen v Rafael Jodar
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alex Michelsen (Casa)
Previsione 18.10%5.53quota equa
EV +9.48%
Vantaggio +1.57%
Kelly +1.88%
Crescita +0.178%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.74%18.13%18.17%20.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.105.006.0521.74%19.61%20.00%16.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Trasferta)
Previsione 81.90%1.22quota equa
EV -1.71%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -8.57%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
79.31%81.87%81.83%84.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.59%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alex Michelsen (Casa): 18.10%; Rafael Jodar (Trasferta): 81.90%. Per Alex Michelsen (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.53. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.05, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.48%.
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +9.48%E +1.57%K +1.88%G +0.178% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.45%E -6.59%K -57.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 10:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.76%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.093% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +3.15%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.30%EV +2.06%E +0.365%K +0.444%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.70%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 10:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +0.431%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.27%E -7.38%K -68.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.09%E -0.772%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.00%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%EV -7.17%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.71%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:57 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 10:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.14%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 10:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 10:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.95%E -3.18%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 10:47 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Novig◎ | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |