StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Alex Michelsen v Rafael Jodar

Aanvang: 2026-05-29 11:05 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

62 wedaanbieders (22 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Alex Michelsen (Thuis)

Prognose 18.10%5.53margevrije odds
EV +9.48%
Voordeel +1.57%
Kelly +1.88%
Groei +0.178%

bij maximale odds 6.05

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
15.74%18.13%18.17%20.69%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.605.105.006.0521.74%19.61%20.00%16.53%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Uit)

Prognose 81.90%1.22margevrije odds
EV -1.71%
Voordeel -1.43%
Kelly -8.57%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.20

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
79.31%81.87%81.83%84.26%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.59%85.47%83.33%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Alex Michelsen (Thuis): 18.10%; Rafael Jodar (Uit): 81.90%. Voor Alex Michelsen (Thuis) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 5.53. 7 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 6.05, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +9.48%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (62 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
SportsBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +9.48%E +1.57%K +1.88%G +0.178%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.45%E -6.59%K -57.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 10:48
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.76%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.093%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
Coolbet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +3.15%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Pinnacle🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 17.30%EV +2.06%E +0.365%K +0.444%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.70%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 10:58
1xBet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +0.431%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 10:59
NetBet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 11:00
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.27%E -7.38%K -68.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 10:59
LowVig.ag🎯5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:59
BetOnline.ag🎯5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 10:59
MyBookie.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.09%E -0.772%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 11:00
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.00%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Betsson🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
NordicBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
DraftKings🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
GTbets🎯5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%EV -7.17%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-29 10:59
BetAnything🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.71%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:00
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:57
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 11:00
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:58
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 11:00
Fliff🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.14%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 10:55
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
LeoVegas🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Bally Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 10:54
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.95%E -3.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:47
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:58
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 10:59
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-05-29 11:00
Novig5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%3.1%2026-05-29 11:00