Die Wettquotenschule

Alex Michelsen v Rafael Jodar

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-29 11:05 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Heim)

Prognose 18.10%5.53faire Quote
EV +9.48%
Vorteil +1.57%
Kelly +1.88%
Wachstum +0.178%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.74%18.13%18.17%20.69%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.605.105.006.0521.74%19.61%20.00%16.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Rafael Jodar (Auswärts)

Prognose 81.90%1.22faire Quote
EV -1.71%
Vorteil -1.43%
Kelly -8.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
79.31%81.87%81.83%84.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.59%85.47%83.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +9.48%E +1.57%K +1.88%G +0.178%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.45%E -6.59%K -57.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 10:48
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.76%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.093%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
Coolbet5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +3.15%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Pinnacle5.64I 17.73%NM 17.30%EV +2.06%E +0.365%K +0.444%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.70%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 10:58
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +0.431%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 11:00
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 10:59
NetBet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 11:00
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.27%E -7.38%K -68.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 10:59
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:59
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 10:59
MyBookie.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.09%E -0.772%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 11:00
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.00%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
NordicBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
DraftKings5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
GTbets5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%EV -7.17%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-29 10:59
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.71%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:00
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:57
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 11:00
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:58
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 11:00
Fliff5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.14%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 10:55
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Bally Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 10:54
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.95%E -3.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:47
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:58
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 10:59
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 11:00
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 11:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-05-29 11:00
Novig5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%3.1%2026-05-29 11:00