مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Alex Michelsen v Rafael Jodar
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Alex Michelsen (المضيف)
التنبؤ 18.10%5.53السعر العادل
EV +9.48%
الأفضلية +1.57%
Kelly +1.88%
النمو +0.178%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.05
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.74%18.13%18.17%20.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.605.105.006.0521.74%19.61%20.00%16.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Rafael Jodar (الضيف)
التنبؤ 81.90%1.22السعر العادل
EV -1.71%
الأفضلية -1.43%
Kelly -8.57%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
79.31%81.87%81.83%84.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.59%85.47%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +9.48%E +1.57%K +1.88%G +0.178% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.45%E -6.59%K -57.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 10:48 |
| FanDuel | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.76%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.093% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +3.15%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.30%EV +2.06%E +0.365%K +0.444%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.70%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 10:58 |
| 1xBet | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +0.431%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.27%E -7.38%K -68.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.09%E -0.772%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Bovada | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.00%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betsson | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| NordicBet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| DraftKings | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| GTbets | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%EV -7.17%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| BetAnything | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.71%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:57 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 10:58 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Fliff | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.14%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 10:55 |
| Unibet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Casumo | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| LeoVegas | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Bally Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 10:54 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.95%E -3.18%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 10:47 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Novig | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |