Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Alex Michelsen v Rafael Jodar
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 18.10%5.53kurs godziwy
EV +9.48%
Przewaga +1.57%
Kelly +1.88%
Wzrost +0.178%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.05
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.74%18.13%18.17%20.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.605.105.006.0521.74%19.61%20.00%16.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rafael Jodar (Goście)
Prognoza 81.90%1.22kurs godziwy
EV -1.71%
Przewaga -1.43%
Kelly -8.57%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
79.31%81.87%81.83%84.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.59%85.47%83.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +9.48%E +1.57%K +1.88%G +0.178% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.45%E -6.59%K -57.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 10:48 |
| FanDuel | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.76%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.093% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +3.15%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.30%EV +2.06%E +0.365%K +0.444%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.70%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 10:58 |
| 1xBet | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +0.431%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.27%E -7.38%K -68.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.09%E -0.772%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Bovada | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.00%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betsson | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| NordicBet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| DraftKings | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| GTbets | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%EV -7.17%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| BetAnything | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.71%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:57 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 10:58 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Fliff | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.14%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 10:55 |
| Unibet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Casumo | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| LeoVegas | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Bally Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 10:54 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.95%E -3.18%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 10:47 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 10:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |
| Novig | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 11:00 |