Школа коэффициентов

Alex Michelsen v Rafael Jodar

Начало: 2026-05-29 11:05 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Хозяева)

Прогноз 18.10%5.53справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.48%
Преимущество +1.57%
Kelly +1.88%
Рост +0.178%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.74%18.13%18.17%20.69%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.105.006.0521.74%19.61%20.00%16.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Rafael Jodar (Гости)

Прогноз 81.90%1.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.71%
Преимущество -1.43%
Kelly -8.57%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
79.31%81.87%81.83%84.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.59%85.47%83.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
SportsBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +9.48%E +1.57%K +1.88%G +0.178%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.45%E -6.59%K -57.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 10:48
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.76%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.093%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
Coolbet5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +3.15%E +0.552%K +0.669%G +0.021%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Pinnacle5.64I 17.73%NM 17.30%EV +2.06%E +0.365%K +0.444%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.70%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +1.34%E +0.238%K +0.290%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 10:58
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +0.431%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 11:00
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 10:59
NetBet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 11:00
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.474%E -0.086%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.27%E -7.38%K -68.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 10:59
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:59
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -1.74%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 10:59
MyBookie.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.28%E -0.423%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.09%E -0.772%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 11:00
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.00%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
NordicBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 10:59
DraftKings5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 10:59
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.90%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
GTbets5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%EV -7.17%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-29 10:59
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.71%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:00
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 10:59
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:57
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 10:59
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 11:00
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:58
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 11:00
Fliff5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 10:59
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.14%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 10:55
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:00
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Bally Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:59
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.05%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 10:54
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.95%E -3.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 10:47
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.71%E -1.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 10:58
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 10:59
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 11:00
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.53%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 11:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-29 11:00
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-05-29 11:00
Novig5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%3.1%2026-05-29 11:00