Language:English
Alejandro Tabilo v Kamil Majchrzak
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Prediction 78.61%1.27fair odd
EV -0.170%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.66%78.46%78.76%80.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.211.211.2786.21%82.87%82.64%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kamil Majchrzak (Visit)
Prediction 21.39%4.67fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.341%
Kelly +0.432%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.80%21.54%21.24%24.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.314.304.7527.03%23.18%23.26%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 78.61%; Kamil Majchrzak (Visit): 21.39%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.12%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.88%EV -0.304%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -4.15%E -0.927%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 09:02 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.94%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.15%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 09:07 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:56 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -11.21%E -2.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -0.170%E -0.134%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -12.71%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.77%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -20.84%E -5.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 2.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.80% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |