Szkoła Kursów

Alejandro Tabilo v Kamil Majchrzak

Początek: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 78.61%1.27kurs godziwy
EV -0.170%
Przewaga -0.134%
Kelly -0.631%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.27

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.66%78.46%78.76%80.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.161.211.211.2786.21%82.87%82.64%78.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kamil Majchrzak (Goście)

Prognoza 21.39%4.67kurs godziwy
EV +1.62%
Przewaga +0.341%
Kelly +0.432%
Wzrost +0.007%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.80%21.54%21.24%24.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.704.314.304.7527.03%23.18%23.26%21.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007%4.4%2026-05-26 09:09
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007%5.8%2026-05-26 09:09
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001%3.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001%7.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.12%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.88%EV -0.304%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:04
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:58
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-26 08:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:09
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:08
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:06
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -4.15%E -0.927%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:04
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 09:02
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:04
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.94%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:08
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.15%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:07
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:08
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:08
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:56
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -11.21%E -2.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -0.170%E -0.134%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -12.71%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 08:59
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.77%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 09:10
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -20.84%E -5.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 77.80%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%4.5%2026-05-26 09:10