La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Tabilo v Kamil Majchrzak
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Predicción 78.61%1.27momio equitativo
EV -0.170%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.631%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.66%78.46%78.76%80.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.211.211.2786.21%82.87%82.64%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kamil Majchrzak (Visitante)
Predicción 21.39%4.67momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.341%
Kelly +0.432%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.80%21.54%21.24%24.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.314.304.7527.03%23.18%23.26%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.12%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.88%EV -0.304%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:06 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -4.15%E -0.927%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 09:02 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.94%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.15%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 09:07 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:56 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Fliff | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -11.21%E -2.70%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Neds | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| GTbets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -0.170%E -0.134%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -12.71%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.77%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -20.84%E -5.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 2.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.80% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |