مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alejandro Tabilo v Kamil Majchrzak

البداية: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 78.61%1.27السعر العادل
EV -0.170%
الأفضلية -0.134%
Kelly -0.631%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.66%78.46%78.76%80.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.161.211.211.2786.21%82.87%82.64%78.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kamil Majchrzak (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.39%4.67السعر العادل
EV +1.62%
الأفضلية +0.341%
Kelly +0.432%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.80%21.54%21.24%24.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.314.304.7527.03%23.18%23.26%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007%4.4%2026-05-26 09:09
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007%5.8%2026-05-26 09:09
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001%3.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001%7.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.12%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.88%EV -0.304%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:04
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:58
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-26 08:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:09
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:08
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:06
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -4.15%E -0.927%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:04
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 09:02
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:04
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.94%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:08
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.15%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:07
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:08
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:08
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:56
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -11.21%E -2.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -0.170%E -0.134%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -12.71%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 08:59
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.77%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 09:10
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -20.84%E -5.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 09:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 77.80%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%4.5%2026-05-26 09:10