Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Tabilo v Kamil Majchrzak

Início: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Previsão 78.61%1.27odd justa
EV -0.170%
Vantagem -0.134%
Kelly -0.631%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.66%78.46%78.76%80.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.161.211.211.2786.21%82.87%82.64%78.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kamil Majchrzak (Visitante)

Previsão 21.39%4.67odd justa
EV +1.62%
Vantagem +0.341%
Kelly +0.432%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.80%21.54%21.24%24.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.314.304.7527.03%23.18%23.26%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 78.61%; Kamil Majchrzak (Visitante): 21.39%. Para Kamil Majchrzak (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.67. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.62%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007%4.4%2026-05-26 09:09
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007%5.8%2026-05-26 09:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001%3.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001%7.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.12%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.88%EV -0.304%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 09:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:04
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:58
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-26 08:59
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:09
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:08
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:06
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -4.15%E -0.927%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 09:02
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.94%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:08
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.15%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:07
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:08
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:56
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -11.21%E -2.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -0.170%E -0.134%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -12.71%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 08:59
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.77%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -20.84%E -5.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 77.80%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%4.5%2026-05-26 09:10