L’École des cotes

Alejandro Tabilo v Kamil Majchrzak

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Prévision 78.61%1.27cote équitable
EV -0.170%
Avantage -0.134%
Kelly -0.631%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.66%78.46%78.76%80.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.211.211.2786.21%82.87%82.64%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kamil Majchrzak (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.39%4.67cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.341%
Kelly +0.432%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.80%21.54%21.24%24.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.314.304.7527.03%23.18%23.26%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007%4.4%2026-05-26 09:09
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.62%E +0.341%K +0.432%G +0.007%5.8%2026-05-26 09:09
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001%3.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +0.552%E +0.117%K +0.149%G +0.001%7.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.12%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.88%EV -0.304%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:04
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:58
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.59%E -0.345%K -0.441%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-26 08:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:09
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:08
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:06
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -4.15%E -0.927%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:04
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 09:02
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:04
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:00
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.94%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:08
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.15%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:07
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 09:08
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:08
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:59
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:56
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.82%E -7.60%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.14%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -11.21%E -2.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -0.170%E -0.134%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -12.71%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 08:59
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.73%K -28.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 09:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -17.63%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.77%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 09:10
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.66%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -20.84%E -5.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 77.80%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%4.5%2026-05-26 09:10