语言:简体中文
Valentin Royer v Stefanos Tsitsipas
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Valentin Royer (主队)
预测 27.14%3.69公平赔率
EV +1.76%
优势 +0.469%
Kelly +0.639%
增长率 +0.011%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.50%27.14%27.08%30.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.513.503.7532.26%28.48%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Stefanos Tsitsipas (客队)
预测 72.86%1.37公平赔率
EV -2.36%
优势 -1.76%
Kelly -6.94%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.34
博彩公司预测分布
69.82%72.86%72.92%74.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.241.291.291.3480.65%77.30%77.52%74.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Valentin Royer (主队)：27.14%；Stefanos Tsitsipas (客队)：72.86%。 对于“Valentin Royer (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.69。 当时有17家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.75，对应+1.76%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +1.49%E +0.397%K +0.542%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.19%E -6.50%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.86%E -0.798%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -9.65%E -7.78%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.20%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 14:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 15:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.36%E -1.76%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |