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Valentin Royer v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Valentin Royer (Хозяева)
Прогноз 27.14%3.69справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.76%
Преимущество +0.469%
Kelly +0.639%
Рост +0.011%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.50%27.14%27.08%30.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.513.503.7532.26%28.48%28.57%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Гости)
Прогноз 72.86%1.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.36%
Преимущество -1.76%
Kelly -6.94%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.34
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.82%72.86%72.92%74.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.241.291.291.3480.65%77.30%77.52%74.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Valentin Royer (Хозяева): 27.14%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Гости): 72.86%. Для исхода «Valentin Royer (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.69. 17 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.76%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +1.49%E +0.397%K +0.542%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.19%E -6.50%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.86%E -0.798%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -9.65%E -7.78%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.20%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 14:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 15:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.36%E -1.76%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |