Idioma:Español
Valentin Royer v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Valentin Royer (Local)
Predicción 27.14%3.69momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.469%
Kelly +0.639%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.50%27.14%27.08%30.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.503.7532.26%28.48%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)
Predicción 72.86%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -6.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.82%72.86%72.92%74.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.291.291.3480.65%77.30%77.52%74.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Valentin Royer (Local): 27.14%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 72.86%. Para Valentin Royer (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.69. 17 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +1.49%E +0.397%K +0.542%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.19%E -6.50%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.86%E -0.798%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -9.65%E -7.78%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.20%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 14:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 15:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.36%E -1.76%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |