StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Valentin Royer v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-14 15:12 UTC

Endstand: Valentin Royer 0–2 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Valentin Royer (Heim)

Prognose 27.14%3.69faire Quote
EV +1.76%
Vorteil +0.469%
Kelly +0.639%
Wachstum +0.011%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.50%27.14%27.08%30.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.513.503.7532.26%28.48%28.57%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Auswärts)

Prognose 72.86%1.37faire Quote
EV -2.36%
Vorteil -1.76%
Kelly -6.94%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.82%72.86%72.92%74.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.241.291.291.3480.65%77.30%77.52%74.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Valentin Royer (Heim): 27.14%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Auswärts): 72.86%. Für Valentin Royer (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.69. 17 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.76%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 19:55
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 15:04
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +1.49%E +0.397%K +0.542%G +0.008%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:50
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:55
Pinnacle🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 11:15
FanDuel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 12:49
GTbets🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:54
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 15:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 14:59
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.19%E -6.50%K -31.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.86%E -0.798%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 15:00
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 15:05
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:10
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:00
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:25
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 12:49
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -9.65%E -7.78%K -40.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:59
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:00
Fanatics🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:50
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:59
DraftKings🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.20%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 15:04
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 11:24
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 12:49
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 14:40
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 11:14
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 15:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 12:50
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 14:50
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 15:08
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.36%E -1.76%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-14 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-14 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-14 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-14 15:10
ProphetX◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-08-14 15:10
Novig◎3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%3.1%2026-08-14 15:10