Langue:Français
Valentin Royer v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valentin Royer (Local)
Prévision 27.14%3.69cote équitable
EV +1.76%
Avantage +0.469%
Kelly +0.639%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.50%27.14%27.08%30.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.503.7532.26%28.48%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)
Prévision 72.86%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -6.94%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.82%72.86%72.92%74.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.291.291.3480.65%77.30%77.52%74.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Valentin Royer (Local) : 27.14% ; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur) : 72.86%. Pour Valentin Royer (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.69. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +1.76%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +1.49%E +0.397%K +0.542%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.19%E -6.50%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.86%E -0.798%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -9.65%E -7.78%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.20%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 14:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 15:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.36%E -1.76%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |