Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Valentin Royer v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Início: 2026-08-14 15:12 UTC

Final: Valentin Royer 0–2 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Valentin Royer (Local)

Previsão 27.14%3.69odd justa
EV +1.76%
Vantagem +0.469%
Kelly +0.639%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.50%27.14%27.08%30.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.513.503.7532.26%28.48%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Previsão 72.86%1.37odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -6.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.82%72.86%72.92%74.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.241.291.291.3480.65%77.30%77.52%74.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Valentin Royer (Local): 27.14%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante): 72.86%. Para Valentin Royer (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.69. 17 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.76%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 19:55
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.76%E +0.469%K +0.639%G +0.011%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 15:04
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +1.49%E +0.397%K +0.542%G +0.008%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:50
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.400%E +0.108%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 19:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.414%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:55
Pinnacle🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 11:15
FanDuel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 12:49
GTbets🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.956%E -0.262%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:54
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 15:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 14:59
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.19%E -6.50%K -31.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.86%E -0.798%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 15:00
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 15:05
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 11:10
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:00
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:25
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 12:49
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -9.65%E -7.78%K -40.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:59
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:00
Fanatics🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:50
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:59
DraftKings🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.20%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 15:04
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 11:24
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 12:49
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 14:40
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 11:14
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 15:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 12:50
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.92%E -7.14%K -35.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 14:50
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 15:08
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.36%E -1.76%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-14 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-14 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-14 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-08-14 15:10
ProphetX◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-08-14 15:10
Novig◎3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%3.1%2026-08-14 15:10