语言:简体中文
Tommy Paul v Hubert Hurkacz
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Tommy Paul (主队)
预测 51.79%1.93公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -0.841%
Kelly -1.77%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.90
博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.94%51.83%54.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.821.831.9058.14%54.87%54.64%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
Hubert Hurkacz (客队)
预测 48.21%2.07公平赔率
EV +1.24%
优势 +0.590%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.014%
假设最高赔率为 2.10
博彩公司预测分布
45.17%48.06%48.17%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.971.962.1053.48%50.89%51.02%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tommy Paul (主队)：51.79%；Hubert Hurkacz (客队)：48.21%。 对于“Hubert Hurkacz (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.07。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.10，对应+1.24%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.24%E +0.590%K +1.13%G +0.014% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 21:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 21:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -3.10%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.70%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.70%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.55%E -2.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.26%E -3.46%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.67%E -1.97%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 21:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.29%E -4.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 21:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.47%E -3.34%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.47%E -3.34%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 11:53 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.96%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -1.60%E -0.841%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -7.44%E -3.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 21:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 17:22 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 20:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.85%E -5.27%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |