Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tommy Paul v Hubert Hurkacz

2026-08-15 17:20 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 55.53%1.80odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -0.968%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.38%55.75%55.61%59.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.701.711.7762.50%58.67%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Previsão 44.47%2.25odd justa
EV +4.06%
Vantagem +1.74%
Kelly +3.03%
Crescimento +0.123%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.61%44.25%44.39%45.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.122.3450.00%47.09%47.17%42.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tommy Paul (Local): 55.53%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante): 44.47%. Para Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.25. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.34, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +4.06%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -11.15%E -6.97%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +4.06%E +1.74%K +3.03%G +0.123%5.2%2026-08-15 07:25
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.27%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.831%E -0.373%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 08:29
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.17%E -0.984%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 08:34
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.27%E -1.29%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 08:34
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 08:29
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.71%E -0.968%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 08:34
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 08:29
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:32
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 08:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 08:29
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.27%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 08:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.04%E -6.20%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 08:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.28%E -2.48%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.28%E -2.48%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 08:33
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:24
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:24
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 08:34
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:34
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 08:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:30
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:34
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.27%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 08:30
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.27%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 08:28
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.50%E -3.61%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:34
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 08:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.93%E -5.45%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.06%E -5.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-08-15 08:29
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-08-15 08:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%3.7%2026-08-15 08:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%3.7%2026-08-15 08:30
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%3.7%2026-08-15 08:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%3.7%2026-08-15 08:34
Arbitragem (2 combinações) +0.77%Coolbet 1.77 (56.9%) / Unibet (UK) 2.34 (43.1%)Mostrar as 2 combinações
Tommy Paul (Local)Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)Margem
Coolbet🎯 1.77 (56.9%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.34 (43.1%)+0.774%
1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.34 (42.9%)+0.449%

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