Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tommy Paul v Hubert Hurkacz

2026-08-15 17:20 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tommy Paul (Local)

Prévision 54.98%1.82cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%55.29%54.95%59.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.711.711.7862.50%58.43%58.48%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.02%2.22cote équitable
EV +5.36%
Avantage +2.29%
Kelly +4.00%
Croissance +0.214%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.61%44.71%45.05%46.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.3450.00%47.40%47.62%42.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Tommy Paul (Local) : 54.98% ; Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur) : 45.02%. Pour Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.22. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.34, pour une espérance positive de +5.36%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -12.04%E -7.52%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +5.36%E +2.29%K +4.00%G +0.214%5.2%2026-08-15 07:25
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +0.405%E +0.182%K +0.329%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-15 08:29
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.946%E -0.430%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 08:34
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.24%E -1.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.40%E -0.637%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 08:34
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 08:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:32
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.10%E -1.92%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 08:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.10%E -1.92%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.10%E -1.92%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 08:33
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:35
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.34%E -2.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 08:39
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:24
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:24
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 08:39
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 08:34
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:34
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.09%E -4.20%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:34
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 08:37
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 08:39
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 08:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:40
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:24
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:38
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.09%E -4.20%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.84%E -6.00%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%2.3%2026-08-15 08:35
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-08-15 08:34
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-08-15 08:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%3.7%2026-08-15 08:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%3.7%2026-08-15 08:34
Arbitrage (3 combinaisons) +1.10%Coolbet 1.78 (56.8%) / Unibet (UK) 2.34 (43.2%)Afficher les 3 combinaisons
Tommy Paul (Local)Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur)Marge
Coolbet🎯 1.78 (56.8%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.34 (43.2%)+1.10%
1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.34 (42.9%)+0.449%
TAB🎯 1.75 (57.2%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.34 (42.8%)+0.122%

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