Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tommy Paul v Hubert Hurkacz

Inizio: 2026-08-15 21:18 UTC

Finale: Tommy Paul 2–1 Hubert Hurkacz

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tommy Paul (Casa)

Previsione 51.79%1.93quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.841%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.94%51.83%54.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.821.831.9058.14%54.87%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.21%2.07quota equa
EV +1.24%
Vantaggio +0.590%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%48.06%48.17%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.971.962.1053.48%50.89%51.02%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tommy Paul (Casa): 51.79%; Hubert Hurkacz (Trasferta): 48.21%. Per Hubert Hurkacz (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.07. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.24%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.24%E +0.590%K +1.13%G +0.014%5.4%2026-08-15 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 21:14
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 21:09
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:29
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -3.10%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.70%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:15
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:19
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 21:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 16:44
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 14:55
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 17:44
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.70%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.55%E -2.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.26%E -3.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.67%E -1.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 18:04
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 20:54
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 21:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 21:04
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:04
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:44
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:54
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 17:15
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 21:14
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.29%E -4.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:54
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 21:09
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.47%E -3.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.47%E -3.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:53
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.96%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -1.60%E -0.841%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -7.44%E -3.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 17:22
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 20:40
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.85%E -5.27%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-08-15 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-15 21:15
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-15 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-15 21:15
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.5%2026-08-15 21:15
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-08-15 21:05
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-15 21:15