StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tommy Paul v Hubert Hurkacz

2026-08-15 17:20 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tommy Paul (Hemma)

Prognos 54.98%1.82rättvist odds
EV -2.14%
Fördel -1.20%
Kelly -2.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.78

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.95%55.29%54.95%59.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.601.711.711.7862.50%58.43%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Borta)

Prognos 45.02%2.22rättvist odds
EV +5.36%
Fördel +2.29%
Kelly +4.00%
Tillväxt +0.214%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.34

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.61%44.71%45.05%46.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.112.102.3450.00%47.40%47.62%42.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Tommy Paul (Hemma): 54.98%; Hubert Hurkacz (Borta): 45.02%. För Hubert Hurkacz (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.22. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.34, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +5.36%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -12.04%E -7.52%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +5.36%E +2.29%K +4.00%G +0.214%5.2%2026-08-15 07:25
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +0.405%E +0.182%K +0.329%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-15 08:29
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.946%E -0.430%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 08:34
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.24%E -1.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.40%E -0.637%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 08:34
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 08:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:32
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.10%E -1.92%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 08:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.10%E -1.92%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.10%E -1.92%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 08:33
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:35
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:29
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.34%E -2.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 08:39
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:24
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:24
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 08:39
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 08:34
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:34
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.09%E -4.20%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:34
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 08:37
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 08:39
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 08:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:40
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:24
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:38
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.09%E -4.20%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.84%E -6.00%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%2.3%2026-08-15 08:35
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-08-15 08:34
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-08-15 08:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-08-15 08:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%3.7%2026-08-15 08:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%3.7%2026-08-15 08:34
Arbitrage (3 kombinationer) +1.10%Coolbet 1.78 (56.8%) / Unibet (UK) 2.34 (43.2%)Visa alla 3 kombinationer
Tommy Paul (Hemma)Hubert Hurkacz (Borta)Marginal
Coolbet🎯 1.78 (56.8%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.34 (43.2%)+1.10%
1xBet🎯 1.76 (57.1%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.34 (42.9%)+0.449%
TAB🎯 1.75 (57.2%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.34 (42.8%)+0.122%

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