StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tommy Paul v Hubert Hurkacz

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 21:18 UTC

Slutresultat: Tommy Paul 2–1 Hubert Hurkacz

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tommy Paul (Hemma)

Prognos 51.79%1.93rättvist odds
EV -1.60%
Fördel -0.841%
Kelly -1.77%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.00%51.94%51.83%54.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.721.821.831.9058.14%54.87%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Borta)

Prognos 48.21%2.07rättvist odds
EV +1.24%
Fördel +0.590%
Kelly +1.13%
Tillväxt +0.014%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.17%48.06%48.17%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.871.971.962.1053.48%50.89%51.02%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Tommy Paul (Hemma): 51.79%; Hubert Hurkacz (Borta): 48.21%. För Hubert Hurkacz (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.07. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.24%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.24%E +0.590%K +1.13%G +0.014%5.4%2026-08-15 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 21:14
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 21:09
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:29
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -3.10%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.70%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:15
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:19
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 21:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 16:44
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 14:55
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 17:44
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.06%E -2.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.70%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.55%E -2.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.26%E -3.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.03%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.67%E -1.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 18:04
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 14:50
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 20:54
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 21:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 21:04
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:04
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:44
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:54
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 17:15
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 21:14
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.29%E -4.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:54
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 21:09
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.47%E -3.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.47%E -3.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:53
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.96%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -1.60%E -0.841%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -7.44%E -3.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 17:22
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.78%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 20:40
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.85%E -5.27%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-08-15 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-15 21:15
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-15 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-15 21:15
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.5%2026-08-15 21:15
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-08-15 21:05
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-15 21:15