Language:English
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Jakub Mensik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Prediction 34.91%2.86fair odd
EV +0.879%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.465%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.92%34.83%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.752.8940.00%36.71%36.36%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visit)
Prediction 65.09%1.54fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%65.08%65.17%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.75%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 34.91%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 65.09%. For Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.879%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.41%EV +0.879%E +0.304%K +0.465%G +0.004% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.59%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.168%E -0.059%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.866%E -0.305%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 16:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 05:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 05:53 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 05:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -1.06%E -0.696%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 05:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.45%E -2.41%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 13:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.99%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.73%E -5.09%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 1.6% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |