语言:简体中文
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Jakub Mensik
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Thiago Agustin Tirante (主队)
预测 34.91%2.86公平赔率
EV +0.879%
优势 +0.304%
Kelly +0.465%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 2.89
博彩公司预测分布
33.41%34.92%34.83%37.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.722.752.8940.00%36.71%36.36%34.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jakub Mensik (客队)
预测 65.09%1.54公平赔率
EV -1.06%
优势 -0.696%
Kelly -2.03%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.52
博彩公司预测分布
62.50%65.08%65.17%66.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.75%68.97%65.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Thiago Agustin Tirante (主队)：34.91%；Jakub Mensik (客队)：65.09%。 对于“Thiago Agustin Tirante (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.86。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.89，对应+0.879%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.41%EV +0.879%E +0.304%K +0.465%G +0.004% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.59%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.168%E -0.059%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.866%E -0.305%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 16:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 05:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 05:53 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 05:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -1.06%E -0.696%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 05:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.45%E -2.41%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 13:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.99%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.73%E -5.09%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 1.6% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |