StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Jakub Mensik

Matchstart: 2026-08-19 17:07 UTC

Slutresultat: Thiago Agustin Tirante 2–1 Jakub Mensik

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Hemma)

Prognos 34.91%2.86rättvist odds
EV +0.879%
Fördel +0.304%
Kelly +0.465%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.89

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.41%34.92%34.83%37.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.722.752.8940.00%36.71%36.36%34.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Borta)

Prognos 65.09%1.54rättvist odds
EV -1.06%
Fördel -0.696%
Kelly -2.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.50%65.08%65.17%66.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.75%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Hemma): 34.91%; Jakub Mensik (Borta): 65.09%. För Thiago Agustin Tirante (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.86. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.89, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.879%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.41%EV +0.879%E +0.304%K +0.465%G +0.004%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.59%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-19 12:55
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.168%E -0.059%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.866%E -0.305%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 16:29
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-19 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 10:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 10:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:45
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 16:40
SportsBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 16:48
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 16:30
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 16:30
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:30
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:44
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 05:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 13:25
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 05:53
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 05:53
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -1.06%E -0.696%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 16:35
ReBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 16:30
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 13:15
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 16:49
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 16:45
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 16:29
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 05:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 05:39
DraftKings🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.45%E -2.41%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 16:35
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 13:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 05:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 16:30
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 05:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 05:34
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:20
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 05:34
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 05:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 12:55
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 12:54
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.99%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 16:39
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.73%E -5.09%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 16:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-19 16:50
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-19 16:45
ProphetX◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-19 16:45
Novig◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%1.6%2026-08-19 16:50
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-08-19 16:50