Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Jakub Mensik

Inizio: 2026-08-19 17:07 UTC

Finale: Thiago Agustin Tirante 2–1 Jakub Mensik

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa)

Previsione 34.91%2.86quota equa
EV +0.879%
Vantaggio +0.304%
Kelly +0.465%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.41%34.92%34.83%37.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.722.752.8940.00%36.71%36.36%34.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Trasferta)

Previsione 65.09%1.54quota equa
EV -1.06%
Vantaggio -0.696%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.50%65.08%65.17%66.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.75%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa): 34.91%; Jakub Mensik (Trasferta): 65.09%. Per Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.86. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.89, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.879%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.41%EV +0.879%E +0.304%K +0.465%G +0.004%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.59%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-19 12:55
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.168%E -0.059%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.866%E -0.305%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 16:29
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-19 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 10:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 10:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:45
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 16:40
SportsBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 16:48
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 16:30
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 16:30
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:30
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:44
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 05:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 13:25
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 05:53
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 05:53
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -1.06%E -0.696%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 16:35
ReBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 16:30
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 13:15
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 16:49
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 16:45
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 16:29
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 05:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 05:39
DraftKings🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.45%E -2.41%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 16:35
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 13:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 05:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 16:30
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 05:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 05:34
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:20
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 05:34
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 05:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 12:55
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 12:54
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.99%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 16:39
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.73%E -5.09%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 16:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-19 16:50
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-19 16:45
ProphetX◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-08-19 16:45
Novig◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%1.6%2026-08-19 16:50
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-08-19 16:50