Langue:Français
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Jakub Mensik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Prévision 34.91%2.86cote équitable
EV +0.879%
Avantage +0.304%
Kelly +0.465%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 2.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.41%34.92%34.83%37.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.752.8940.00%36.71%36.36%34.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)
Prévision 65.09%1.54cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.696%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%65.08%65.17%66.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.75%68.97%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local) : 34.91% ; Jakub Mensik (Visiteur) : 65.09%. Pour Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.86. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.89, soit une espérance positive de +0.879%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.41%EV +0.879%E +0.304%K +0.465%G +0.004% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.59%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.168%E -0.059%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.866%E -0.305%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 16:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 05:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 05:53 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 05:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -1.06%E -0.696%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 05:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.45%E -2.41%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 13:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.99%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.73%E -5.09%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 1.6% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |