Idioma:Español
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Predicción 34.91%2.86momio equitativo
EV +0.879%
Ventaja +0.304%
Kelly +0.465%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%34.92%34.83%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.722.752.8940.00%36.71%36.36%34.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 65.09%1.54momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.696%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%65.08%65.17%66.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.75%68.97%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 34.91%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 65.09%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.86. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.89, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.879%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.41%EV +0.879%E +0.304%K +0.465%G +0.004% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.59%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.168%E -0.059%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.866%E -0.305%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.26%E -0.808%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.92%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.61%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -2.96%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 16:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 05:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.22%E -5.83%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 05:53 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 05:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -1.06%E -0.696%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.36%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.75%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 05:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.45%E -2.41%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 13:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 05:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.24%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.99%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.73%E -5.09%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 16:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 1.6% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |